The Kalman filter and Rauch-Tung-Striebel (RTS) smoother are optimal for state estimation in linear dynamic systems. With nonlinear systems, the challenge consists in how to propagate uncertainty through the state transitions and output function. For the case of a neural network model, we enable accurate uncertainty propagation using a recent state-of-the-art analytic formula for computing the mean and covariance of a deep neural network with Gaussian input. We argue that cross entropy is a more appropriate performance metric than RMSE for evaluating the accuracy of filters and smoothers. We demonstrate the superiority of our method for state estimation on a stochastic Lorenz system and a Wiener system, and find that our method enables more optimal linear quadratic regulation when the state estimate is used for feedback.

This paper presents an invariant Rauch-Tung- Striebel (IRTS) smoother applicable to systems with states that are an element of a matrix Lie group. In particular, the extended Rauch-Tung-Striebel (RTS) smoother is adapted to work within a matrix Lie group framework. The main advantage of the invariant RTS (IRTS) smoother is that the linearization of the process and measurement models is independent of the state estimate resulting in state-estimate-independent Jacobians when certain technical requirements are met. A sample problem is considered that involves estimation of the three dimensional pose of a rigid body on SE(3), along with sensor biases. The multiplicative RTS (MRTS) smoother is also reviewed and is used as a direct comparison to the proposed IRTS smoother using experimental data. Both smoothing methods are also compared to invariant and multiplicative versions of the Gauss-Newton approach to solving the batch state estimation problem.

Measurement outliers are unavoidable when solving real-world robot state estimation problems. A large family of robust loss functions (RLFs) exists to mitigate the effects of outliers, including newly developed adaptive methods that do not require parameter tuning. All of these methods assume that residuals follow a zero-mean Gaussian-like distribution. However, in multivariate problems the residual is often defined as a norm, and norms follow a Chi-like distribution with a non-zero mode value. This produces a "mode gap" that impacts the convergence rate and accuracy of existing RLFs. The proposed approach, "Adaptive MB," accounts for this gap by first estimating the mode of the residuals using an adaptive Chi-like distribution. Applying an existing adaptive weighting scheme only to residuals greater than the mode leads to more robust performance and faster convergence times in two fundamental state estimation problems, point cloud alignment and pose averaging.